Dont forget the cell phones
Political polls that include cell phone users show Obama leading McCain by an average of 10 points, versus just over five points in land-line-only surveys, notes a Sunday survey put together by Nate Silver, founder of the electoral projections site FiveThirtyEight.
The survey shows a snapshot of 15 polls conducted on behalf of media companies and by polling companies such as Gallup and Zogby. Six of those, including one released late Sunday by NBC and the Wall Street Journal, include cell phone users. The rest don’t.
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It’s easy to forget how out of touch pollsters may be when it comes to reaching important demographics. I know I’m not the only person who doesn’t have a land line in the house. The number was around 14% last year.
Original post by Brendan
2008 Election: Going All-In Edition
It always seems like a good idea to make some predictions surrounding a big election day if for no other reason than to piss people off one last time before the big day. I’m sticking with state issues this year as national politics couldn’t get any less interesting. The presidential race in particular has proven itself more sitcom than future of the free world.
So lets start at the bottom with the Massachusetts ballot questions.
Question One: State Personal Income Tax
This proposed law would reduce the state personal income tax rate to 2.65% for all categories of taxable income for the tax year beginning on or after January 1, 2009, and would eliminate the tax for all tax years beginning on or after January 1, 2010. The personal income tax applies to income received or gain realized by individuals and married couples, by estates of deceased persons, by certain trustees [...]
Original post by Brendan
Sarah Palin is simply a dangerous person
You’ve heard about some of these pet projects they really don’t make a whole lot of sense and sometimes these dollars go to projects that have little or nothing to do with the public good. Things like fruit fly research in Paris, France. I kid you not.
The Drosophila fruit fly is probably the stickiest subject in any level of science education and most students first introduction to genetics. So in a bizarre way it makes sense that a creationist would discount such research. However this statement was made while she was giving a speech on Americans with disabilities and early identification of such disorders, primarily autism. How does this twit think early identification of genetic disorders such as autism is possible without studying the very nature of genetics? Is she suggesting that we perform autism research on autistic kids? I’m sure their parents wont mind.
Well [...]
Original post by Brendan
Powell endorses Obama
Hell of an endorsement week and a powerful statement from Powell.
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Original post by Brendan
The ghost of solid leads past
People are really eating up Obamas solid lead in the polls, no doubt this is exciting stuff for supporters who have worked their asses off during this campaign. But before you start to get comfortable with recent poll numbers, lets all take a step back to October of 2000…
WASHINGTON (CNN) — Thursday’s CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll indicates that Vice President Al Gore may be opening a solid lead over Texas Gov. George W. Bush, after nearly two weeks of neck-and-neck competition. Today’s figures — 51 percent for Gore to 40 percent for Bush — represents a significant margin for the vice president.
October is always the longest month in Presidential politics and this year still has many cards to be played, the likes of which haven’t been seen in decades.
Just sayin’
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Original post by Brendan